psu_met's Blog

Just a quick update on the tropics below.  For more details see my blog post from earlier today.

Tropical Storm Dean
As of 11pm 8/14/07  Winds:  50mph  G:  65mph
                                     Movement:  W 18mph
                                     Pressure:  1000mb (29.52in.)
                                     Position:  1295 W of Lesser Antilles
This evening Dean looks less ragged due to a new burst of convection.  The winds at 50mph might be a little conservative.  The models are in good agreement in bringing Dean across the Lesser Antilles in about 3 days but diverge after that.  The recent trends have shifted Dean farther south since yesterday.  The models bring Dean to hurricane strength in the next 36-48 hrs.

Tropical Depression #5
As of 11pm 8/14/07  Winds:  30mph  G:  40mph
                                     Movement:  NW 10mph
                                     Pressure:  1006mb (29.70in.)
                                     Position:  425 ESE of Brownsville, TX
At 11pm TD 5 formed in the Gulf of Mexico.  A Tropical Storm Watch has been issued for the Texas coast from Freeport south to Rio San Fernando in Mexico.  The depression has a chance to become a TS before making landfall near the Texas/Mexico border in about 36-48 hrs.  The biggest threat is rain in the amount of 3-5in. with isolated amounts up to 8in.

Hurricane Flossie
Flossie (95mph) is currently 155 miles south of Hilo, HI.  A Tropical Storm Warning and Hurricane Watch are still in effect on the Big Island.  They should see wind gusts to 50mph, up to 10in of rain, and waves heights of 20-25 ft.