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RobBensalemSnow's Blog

by RobBensalemSnow from Bensalem, PA

Last Post 432 days, 11 hours Ago


So for all us Snowlovers we get ONE MORE!!!!!

 

The front is in the process of going through and temps are tumbling, that trend will continue with showers.  The threat of Thunder Storms is waning and now it is time to watch for SNOW???

 

The GFS and NAM models are right on the border with temps Rain/Snow.....it is real close if you look at the models......if temps end up being lower than what the models show we are hammered with Snow......if temps end up being higher than what the models show we end up with a heavy rain storm.....if the models have the temps right we have a mixed bag.

 

My thoughts as have been all along is Philly Metro will see a more WET event than a FROZEN event.  The models have been too low with temps for the last 3-5 days and that is common in March.  If that is the case here we get heavy rain.  That is where I am leaning.  I do think the backend would be Wet Snow however back end snow is very tough to call.

 

My current thought for Philly Metro S&E as of 2:30 PM Thursday is:

Rain 1-1.25", Wet Snow on the backend changing over late Friday Morning 1-2"

 

My Current thought for N&W Burbs of Philly:

Rain 1", Wet Snow on the backend changing over Friday Morning 2-4"

 

My Current thought for Lehigh Valley, Berks County, Lancaster County:

Rain changing to Snow by Daybreak 3-6"

 

My Current thought for the Poconos:

May begin as rain with a quick changeover to Snow........6-10"

 

I will be updating around 6-8PM tonight......alot to Nowcast, another fun Storm!!!!

 

12 Comments |  Add a Comment

Member Comments Total Comments: 12
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snowbrain read my blog view my photos
Mar 15, 2007 | 2:39 PM

1st

snobunny read my blog view my photos
Mar 15, 2007 | 2:42 PM

RobBen Rocks! Gooooooose!

BigSnowLover
Mar 15, 2007 | 2:45 PM

Love it Robben! I can be happy with 2-4". Will chat with you later. As always - thank you for all of your insights. The ladies at work wonder how I know so much - shhhhh - our little secret!

tylerh read my blog
Mar 15, 2007 | 2:54 PM

i herd from noaa bucks county is getting 4-7 inchis. is that right?

RobBensalemSnow read my blog
Mar 15, 2007 | 3:01 PM

Tyler that is what NWS is saying I say 2-4" for Philly N&W Burbs.

tylerh read my blog
Mar 15, 2007 | 3:03 PM

why are thay saying that???

RobBensalemSnow read my blog
Mar 15, 2007 | 3:11 PM

tyler...because as I point out above I think the temps will be a tiny bit higher than predicted, thats all it needs to be to be wetter. i am no expert though and could very well be wrong, I hope the NWS is right!

Dan888
Mar 15, 2007 | 6:41 PM

rob ben

my thoughts are right now rain to sleet to light snow, with the heavy burst as sleet.

Kreag
Mar 15, 2007 | 6:42 PM

what effect will it have that it hit 70 here today? ground is definitely not frozen anymore, doesn't the ground emit heat?

RobBensalemSnow read my blog
Mar 15, 2007 | 6:44 PM

Kreag...yes it does and it will have an effect!

Kreag
Mar 15, 2007 | 6:48 PM

unless something crazy happens, as they say the smart money would be on your totals..

ThunderTush read my blog view my photos
Mar 15, 2007 | 7:53 PM

Snow is gonna hang in there and I see a lot of snow comming out of this now since there is so much precip with it and plus that cold is moving in faster than expected

my guess for upper bucks co is 5"

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RobBensalemSnow

Hey I am Rob from Bensalem, if you hadn't figured that out already oh and I love Snow!

Member Since: 12/3/2006