RobBensalemSnow's Blog

For the past week the GFS and NAM have been showing a decent clipper coming through tommorow.  Now some of the model runs showed some crazy high amounts which I did not buy.  We just do not ussually see huge snow amounts from a clipper.  I saw this as a strong clipper from the get go 2-4".

Last night the 0Z Model runs really backed off the QPF numbers and slid the storm further south.  I remembered Rob G's lesson "dont forecast model run to model run" and I decided to stick to my forecast!

Now the 0Z NAM shows QPF's up again and the storm further north like 90% of the previous 4 days model runs.

2-4" was the call Sunday morning, it was the call Monday when the GFS showed .6 QPF, and it is the call now!!!!