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SEVERE WEATHER CENTRAL (GETVTHUNDERBOLT's) Blog

by GETVTHUNDERBOLT from the Delaware Valley

Last Post 17 days, 22 hours Ago


Isolated severe hail/wind gusts possible
Jul 1, 2008 | 2:26 PM
Category: Weather
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MD 1652 graphic

MESOSCALE DISCUSSION 1652
   NWS STORM PREDICTION CENTER NORMAN OK
   1119 AM CDT TUE JUL 01 2008
  
   AREAS AFFECTED...EASTERN PA/NJ/SOUTHERN NY INTO SOUTHERN NEW ENGLAND
  
   CONCERNING...SEVERE POTENTIAL...WATCH UNLIKELY
  
   VALID 011619Z - 011845Z
  
   AN ISOLATED/MARGINALLY SEVERE HAIL AND STRONG WIND GUST THREAT WILL
   DEVELOP THIS AFTERNOON ACROSS PORTIONS OF EASTERN PA/NJ/SOUTHERN NY
   INTO PORTIONS OF SOUTHERN NEW ENGLAND. GIVEN THE ANTICIPATED
   MARGINAL/ISOLATED NATURE OF THE RISK...A SEVERE TSTM WATCH IS NOT
   ANTICIPATED.
  
   VISIBLE SATELLITE IMAGERY AT MIDDAY REFLECTS DEEPENING BOUNDARY
   LAYER CUMULUS ESPECIALLY ACROSS EASTERN PA/SOUTHEAST NY INTO
   CT/MA...AS CONVECTIVE TEMPERATURES ARE ALREADY BEING REACHED /AROUND
   80F PER ALBANY AND NEW YORK CITY 12Z OBSERVED RAOBS/ AMIDST AMPLE
   INSOLATION. WHILE BOUNDARY LAYER CONVERGENCE WILL REMAIN
   MODEST...TSTMS ARE LIKELY TO DEVELOP/INCREASE IN COVERAGE ACROSS
   PORTIONS OF EASTERN PA/NJ/SOUTHERN NY INTO SOUTHERN NEW ENGLAND
   THROUGH EARLY/MID AFTERNOON OWING TO THE PROXIMITY OF THE UPPER
   TROUGH AND A WARM/MOIST AND MODESTLY UNSTABLE/WEAKLY CAPPED BOUNDARY
   LAYER. WITH LOWER 60S F SURFACE DEWPOINTS IN MOST LOCALES...MODIFIED
   12Z RAOBS IN CONJUNCTION WITH LATEST RUC SOUNDINGS SUGGEST POTENTIAL
   FOR MLCAPE TO 500-900 J/KG THIS AFTERNOON. WITH RELATIVELY COOL MID
   LEVEL TEMPERATURES /-AROUND -14C AT 500 MB/ IN ASSOCIATION WITH THE
   UPPER TROUGH...STEEP LOW TO MID LEVEL LAPSE RATES AND AFOREMENTIONED
   MODEST BUOYANCY ARE SUGGESTIVE OF A SEVERE HAIL RISK. SOME GUSTY
   WINDS WILL BE POSSIBLE AS WELL OWING TO A WARM/WELL-MIXED BOUNDARY
   LAYER. MARGINAL NATURE OF THE TOTAL BUOYANCY AND MODEST/LARGELY
   UNIDIRECTIONAL VERTICAL SHEAR OF 30-35 KT SUGGEST THE OVERALL THREAT
   SHOULD REMAIN FAIRLY ISOLATED/MARGINAL IN NATURE...AND THUS A WATCH
   IS NOT CURRENTLY ANTICIPATED.
  
   ..GUYER.. 07/01/2008
  
  
   ATTN...WFO...GYX...BOX...OKX...ALY...PHI...BGM...CTP...

  
   40047456 39777552 39987684 41007645 42367472 42997134
   41587103 40847377

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GETVTHUNDERBOLT

I am a trained weather spotter for the National Weather Service in Mount Holly, New Jersey. I also am the Assistant Skywarn Coordinator for Burlington County, New Jersey. An assistant Skywarn Coordinator works with spotters from all across the county in which you are responsible for and also coordinates with the head coordinator. There are several trained weather spotters throughout the FOX 29 viewing area. I was the weather anchor at Seneca High School, which is located in South Jersey, from February 2006 to June 2008. When I was the weather anchor, I interviewed several well known names to the weather world. Dr. Steve Lyons from The Weather Channel, Dean Gulezian who is the Eastern Director of NOAA, and Bill Proenza, former director of The National Hurricane Center. I also was a sideline, sports reporter for the Lenape District Television Channel from January 2007 to June 2008. I graduated from Seneca High School in June of 2008.

Member Since: 12/20/2006


 

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