DxExLxAxHxOxYxAx's Blog

ahh yes..it is that time of year again..the breeders cup world thoroughbred championships...im am sooo excited since i will be attending the latter of the 2 day event...here are my observations and choices as of today..10/24/07...they will most likely change come post time..

breeders cup filly & mare sprint

i really like the west point horse DREAM RUSH...but pat biancone's LA TRAVIATA i think could upset her..these are two very speedy fillies..i also think OPRAH WINNEY is a likely contender, for she has won over the monmouth track, and i have seen her do so in august on haskell day...my other value filly in here is BARONESS THATCHER..i have loved this horse from the begining of her career..she is strikingly beautiful, and resembles smarty jones looks wise...she has speed, and was robbed last time out..she puts up a fight..and i tihnk she is worthy of hitting the board in this race...as i do love the local horses..MIRACULOUS MISS could spring an upset, but i dont tihnk she is at the calibur of these classy filly and mares.

breeders cup juvenille turf

my horse in this race that i will put the money on is GIO PONTI..i love the way this horse runs, and he puts a giant effort in  every race he runs in...todd pletchers THE LEOPARD is another good turf juvenille..he was dissapointing in the futurity aginst the likes of TALE OF EKATI and KODIAK KOWBOY...but that was on the dirt...he is a monster on the green stuff..winning the pilgrim stakes in his next start...i also am very fond of this horse.....CHEROKEE TRIANGLE has speed in his breeding, with his sire being cherokee run, nd he is a colt taht i think will run well..but not good nuff to win it...now my favorite euros in this field is DOMESTIC FUND and STRIKE THE DEAL..these are very talented horses who i think are good enough to win the juvie turf

breeders cup dirt mile

i have never been a fan of him, but i tihnk the mile and 70 yds is the perfect distance for DISCREET CAT. last years cigar mile impressed me..he is due to win since he has done absolutely nothin so far this year....GOTCHA GOLD is the horse for the course in this race..he defeated LAWYER RON in the salvator mile erlier this year..and that is something to consider..he will gun it from the start thoguh..he likes to be up front..and he may set crazy fractions like 22 and 46...but idk..i used to be a big fan of PARK AVENUE BALL, but what has he doen for me lately? nothing. i am puzzled as to why he is even in a stakes race..let alone the prestigious breeders cup..i wouldnt be surprised if he came bursting out of the pack late to get maybe 4th..if hes worth it..now CORINTHIAN..he is sometihng....he could give DISCREET CAT  a run for his money...he also defeated both POLITICAL FORCE nd LAWYER RON in the met mile months ago...he jusst needs a clean trip.. and maybe he will be in the winners circle for the last time...as a semi-longshot bomber..XCHANGER is my horse..i like him better at 1m1/8 , but what are ya gonna do..

breeders cup juvenille fillies

CLEARY FOXY is clearly a ferocious animal on the grass..but this race is on conventional dirt...how will she take it? i love this filly, but im afraid to put a win ticket on her jus because of the fact that she has yet to run on the real stuff...A TO THE CROFT ia a horse tht i think could spring an upset if she decides to run better than second, which she always has seem to run...larry jones' filly PROUD SPELL is another one that has interested me...i would liek see this filly win it..i think she has the credentials to go home victorious, and i love her trainer, larry jones,  trainer of HARD SPUN...IRISH SMOKE  dissapointed me in the alcibiades at keeneland..im not fully booked on her..but maybe  she could run in the money....you can call me crazy..but i really have taken an interest in TASHA'S MIRACLE..i tihnk she is a gorgeous looking filly..and she can run too!..i tihnk she is a bargain at 10-1...now INDIAN BLESSING, on the other hand, is definitely the girl to beat in this race...but...she got a 97 in her maiden victtory..and dropped to an 87 beyer in the frizette..she ran incredibly slow...i like to see high beyers in the mid 90s for 2 yos who win stakes races...i still like her though..but im pickin TASHA'S MIRACLE  as an upset  chance! =]

breeders cup juvenille

WAR PASS... wht should i make of this colt?...he was impressive in the champagne..but i think it may have taken a bit too much out of him..come time for the big dance..i tihnk he will falter in the stretch and run 2nd or 3rd...TALE OF EKATI jus threw his chances of winning the juvenille right out the window..he ran 4 furlongs in a blistering 45.79!!! but that can work with you also...i dont know what to make of this horse either.. i thought the workout was way too fast..my favorites in this race are KODIAK KOWBOY, SLEW'S TIZNOW and SALUTE THE SARGE...these are alll very impressive colts who are on their way to stardom indeed, but the distance is a quesiton for me with SALUTE THE SARGE...i do have faith in him that he will come home on the board..SLEW'S TIZNOW  is a fantastic looking colt...a full-brother to SLEW'S TIZZY, he runs ten times better than  him..KODIAK KOWBOY is a favorite of mine, ever since the start of his 2yo campaign...he was impressive at churchill downs..and he did run well in the futurity, where of course TALE OF EKATI was victorious...PYRO....he has a late kick that i like..at 6-1 i am certainly puttin somethig on this horse at those odds...

breeders cup filly & mare turf

NASHOBA'S KEY.....she is my favorite horse this whole year...she has been the most imprssive..she has faced and was victorious in every challenege that has been thrown at her...she has won on the grass, and the synthetic..she has beaten 3yos and older mares, with the likes  of CITTRONADE..i am puttin a win ticket on this 4yo undefeated filly..HONEY RYDER will run well..as usual...i dont tihnk she can beat the likes of NASHOBA'S KEY..i like PRECIOUS KITTEN at a mile distance..not 1m3/8....PASSAGE OF TIME  is another euro that has a shot of running big...i liek her...WAIT A  WHILE  has failed to impress me this year..but its todd pletcher..soo shee will run huge most likely

breeders cup sprint

SMOKEY STOVER...hes my horse in ths race..he is a spittin image of LOST IN THE FOG..i loveed him sooo much..and im rooting for SMOKEY STOVER  just because he runs like him, he looks like him to a T , and the same connections...MIDNIGHT LUTE i tihnk is a fraud...i dislike him very much...i cant believe im actually saying this, but i think ATTILA'S STORM has a big shot..its his 3rd try so why not? COMMENTATOR has never really caught my eye...and he isnt going to against the likes of GREG'S GOLD...he had really bad luck in the ancient title...i like him, but he drew a bad post...he will probably hit the board..but you never know..i liek him and smokey stover...KELLY'S LANDING is a horse that i have always liked...he is a gigantic horse...hes very big..and has all the speed to go with the size

breeders cup mile

i hate AFTER MARKET at the mile distance..hes much much better at 1m1/4....ICY ATLANTIC is the horse for the course, loving momouth's turf...he has won here, but im not fullly impressed with him..i really like NOBIZ LIKE SHOBIZ..what a turnaround of a career...he is a lawnmower! he absolutley loves runnin on the green, and hes gonna show off his speed in the homestretch of the bc mile..hes my winner in here..TRIPPI'S STORM could be a surprise...i also am looking at  KIP DEVILLE..who i never used to like..i was indeed surprised at his valliant effort in the woodbine mile..runnning a good second to SHAKESPEARE...COSMONAUT..maybe..if he decides to run saturday...PURIM  i like way better on the dirt...but was shocked at his performance in the shadwelll mile... i like MY TYPHOON  at the filly an mare turf distance on 1m3furlongs

breeders cup distaff

this is the most wide open race i have ever clapped an eye on...if this race were to be run 12 times..you would have 12 different winners ....my mind is waverign with LADY JOANNE..i thought it wwas ironic thoguh becase i thought her name was pronounced "jo-ann" instead of "joanie"...my grandmother joanne ( pronoucned "jo-ann") passed away in late may...and i felll in love with the horse just because of the name..she is impressive though..i give her credit for runnign up against the big girls and giving a good performance...GINGER PUNCH is one that i have always been a fan for..i tihnk she will put up a good fight in this race..and i like the distance for her..UNBRIDLED BELLE  is purley  a shock in my mind..i would have never guessed that she would have ran away wit hte del cap the way she did..and then beat the same calibur horses in the beldame...i dont like her post..and i dont like her... i tihnk she is a fluke and i am not wagering on her to win place or show..maybe 4th for her...INDIAN VALE  decides whether she wnts to run or not towards the homestretch of a race....if she feels pressure..then hse will either falter or give the other horse  a run for their money...she reminds me of a horse by the name of ROCKPORT HARBOR...he was stubborn like her...she may give her all on saturday..and i m greatly surprised that she is the m/l favorite..and not someone like LADY JOANNE or GINGER PUNCH..im not a big fan of INDIAN VALE..and i never will be..when i think she will perform well..she doesnt..when i least expect it.. like in the beldame..she actually puts an effort towards running!...she still is very talented indeed, and this disttance may suit her well...HYSTERICALLADY is one who i will put money on..i dont care if she is from the west coast..she ran away in a blowout in the molly pitcher at monmouth..that was enoguh to impress me..i m throwing away her last start just because it was on the artificial surface....OCTAVE  is another one who you cant count out...she alaways seems to finish on the board where ever she runs...

breeders cup turf

DYLAN THOMAS  is my horse...i was very impressed with his valliant battle to the wire with YOUMZAIN in the prix de le arc de triomphe...he is indeed the best horse at 1m1/2....im pickin him to win...ENGLISH CHANNEL never seems to show well when it comes time to run his best against the big boys...he is indeed the best american in this race... but i liek the old boy in BETTER TALK NOW..he is my horse for the place wager...he may not have showed that much this year...but i believe he will come up big in the turf...you can have your RED ROCKS...i think the horse sucks...thats it!..no one else but DYLAN THOMAS, ENGLISH CHANNEL, and BETTER TALK NOW have enoguh to win this race.

breeders cup classic

here is another wide open race...LAWYER RON and HARD SPUN are obviously gonna gun to the lead and fight it out from there...but i have a feeling that HARD SPUN will pace himself and let LAWYER RON burn himslf out...i love my local boy HARD SPUN...but there lurks the looks of CURLIN and STREET SENSE..these are two phenomenal horses...this is the only race where i dont have a clear cut favorite in my mind..i will probably go ennie meenie miney moe at post time and choose a winner from there....if i had to pick an outcome..i would choose HARD SPUN to win..CURLIN  to place by a neck over AWESOME GEM...STREET SENSE  will get 4th...i jus have faith in HARD SPUN and idk but i jus think STREET SENSE  will fail to show up on breeders cup day...i liek TIAGO  at 1m1/8...as well as LAWYER RON..and ANY GIVEN SATURDAY... i dont kno why GEORGE WASHINGTON  is in here...DIAMOND STRIPES  is waaayy beter at one mile..